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How many copies did LEGO® The Hobbit™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 598k–972k
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LEGO® The Hobbit™ and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including LEGO® The Hobbit™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.8M
best case 1.6M (LEGO® Star Wars™: The Skywalker Saga)
Games like LEGO® The Hobbit™

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies

≈ $12.3M–$23.4M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: LEGO® Star Wars™: The Skywalker Saga at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $16.5M–$44.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share LEGO (3 of 3) and Co-op (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with LEGO + Co-op, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

LEGO® Worlds
2017
Est. copies
≈ 539k–875k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.9M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
LEGOOpen World
LEGO® Star Wars™: The Skywalker Saga
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$16.5M–$44.5M after Steam's cut $30.1M–$68.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
LEGOAdventure
LEGO® Star Wars™ - The Complete Saga
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LEGOLocal Co-Op

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.