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How many copies did Cosmic Tankinator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cosmic Tankinator and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Cosmic Tankinator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–4k
best case 90k (AXYOS)
Games like Cosmic Tankinator

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–4k copies

≈ $1k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~85 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 7 similar games is a hit.

Best case: AXYOS at ≈ 69k–112k copies, ≈ $95k–$254k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 53.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Wargame (6 of 7) and Hero Shooter (5 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hero Shooter + FPS, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry MOBA + Multiplayer + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Trap Arena
2021
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$435–$1k after Steam's cut $790–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
32 reviews
Mixed
Hero ShooterSpectacle fighter
Cemetery Warrior V
2021
Est. copies
≈ 992–2k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$3.99
40 reviews
Mixed
Hero ShooterSpectacle fighter
Rescue Operation
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut
$3.99
298 reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterSpectacle fighter
Sword of Destiny
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$0.99
149 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
AXYOS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$95k–$254k after Steam's cut $172k–$391k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mixed
Hero ShooterFPS
Achievement Killer
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$439–$1k after Steam's cut $798–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
65 reviews
Mixed
CasualClicker
Random Heroes: Gold Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut
$4.99
105 reviews
Mostly Positive
Hero ShooterSide Scroller

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.