How much revenue did Metro: Last Light Redux make?

$25.3M–$67.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Metro: Last Light Redux sell?

Q: How many copies did Metro: Last Light Redux sell?

4.6M to 7.5M copies, based on its 82k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.6M–7.5M; $25.3M–$67.9M after Steam's cut $45.9M–$104.5M before Steam's cut; from 82k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Metro: Last Light Redux and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Metro: Last Light Redux's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14.5M–26.8M

best case 31.8M (Dying Light)

Games like Metro: Last Light Redux

A typical game among these

≈ 14.5M–26.8M copies

≈ $125.0M–$236.5M after Steam's cut

from ~262k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Dying Light at ≈ 24.2M–39.3M copies, ≈ $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (3 of 3) and First-Person (2 of 3).
The winners: Winners here lead with Zombies + Survival Horror, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.2M–39.3M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	496k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
Fallout: New Vegas 2010	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–26.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	262k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op