How much revenue did Armello make?

$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Armello sell?

Q: How many copies did Armello sell?

784k to 1.3M copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 784k–1.3M; $5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut; from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Armello and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Armello's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 398k–685k

best case 1.7M (KARDS - The WW2 Card Game)

Games like Armello

A typical game among these

≈ 398k–685k copies

≈ $2.0M–$4.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: KARDS - The WW2 Card Game at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 778 to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Board Game (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Board Game. The breakout hits carry PvP + Free to Play + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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FPS Chess 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	44k reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
KARDS - The WW2 Card Game 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	52k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayCard Game
Blood Bowl 2: Legendary Edition (Classic) 2017	Est. copies ≈ 316k–513k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	9k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyMultiplayer
Talisman: Digital Classic Edition 2014	Est. copies ≈ 561k–912k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$6.99	10k reviews Mostly Positive	Board GameTabletop
For The King II 2023	Est. copies ≈ 403k–654k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	16k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureRPG
MONOPOLY® PLUS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 568k–924k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Mixed	Board GameMultiplayer
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel 2020	Est. copies ≈ 223k–362k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$11.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ChessTime Travel
Wingspan 2020	Est. copies ≈ 299k–485k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	12k reviews Very Positive	BuildingBoard Game