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How many copies did Pennon and Battle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–7k
$24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$98k before Steam's cut
from 183 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pennon and Battle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pennon and Battle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 194k–524k
best case 2.0M (Sid Meier's Civilization VII)
Games like Pennon and Battle

A typical game among these

≈ 194k–524k copies

≈ $1.8M–$6.8M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier's Civilization VII at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 483 to 35k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 4X (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Grand Strategy + Historical, priced around $70.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallen Enchantress: Legendary Heroes
2013
Est. copies
≈ 160k–260k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
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MagicSingleplayer
Xenonauts 2
2026
Est. copies
≈ 145k–236k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
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StrategySimulation
Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War
2018
Est. copies
≈ 572k–929k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$26.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWarhammer 40K
Three Kingdoms The Last Warlord
2021
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$108k–$290k after Steam's cut $196k–$446k before Steam's cut
$3.99
4k reviews
Mixed
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Songs of Conquest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 337k–547k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
14k reviews
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Local MultiplayerTurn-Based Tactics
Sid Meier's Civilization VII
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.1M–$123.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
62k reviews
Mixed
Grand StrategyHistorical
Total War: ROME REMASTERED
2021
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyGrand Strategy
The Battle of Polytopia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 149k–242k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$615k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based

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