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How big is Splash Dino?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 471–766
from 19 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Splash Dino and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Splash Dino's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 436–3k
best case 12k (Fossil Corner)
Games like Splash Dino

A typical game among these

≈ 436–3k copies

≈ $623–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~19 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Fossil Corner at ≈ 9k–14k copies, ≈ $24k–$65k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 13 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 70.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Dinosaurs (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Collectathon, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kaiju Krashers
2020
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$68–$183 after Steam's cut $123–$281 before Steam's cut
$1.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
StrategyPuzzle
Fossil Corner
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$101k before Steam's cut
$9.99
357 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle
Dragon VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
127 reviews
Mixed
CasualVR
Animals Memory: Dinosaurs
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$3.99
56 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
GENBA no Kizuna
2024
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$24.99
22 reviews
Positive
Visual NovelDetective
Viking Heroes 5
2024
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$6.99
15 reviews
Positive
CasualAdventure
Intelligence: Dinosaurs
2018
Est. copies
≈ 456–741
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$501–$1k after Steam's cut $910–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
15 reviews
Mostly Positive
ClickerPuzzle
Dinoku
2018
Est. copies
≈ 213–346
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$175–$471 after Steam's cut $318–$724 before Steam's cut
$2.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
LogicPuzzle

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.