How much revenue did GENBA no Kizuna make?

$4k–$10k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did GENBA no Kizuna sell?

Q: How many copies did GENBA no Kizuna sell?

546 to 887 copies, based on its 22 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 546–887; $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut; from 22 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid GENBA no Kizuna and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including GENBA no Kizuna's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 152k–200k

best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)

Games like GENBA no Kizuna

A typical game among these

≈ 152k–200k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 972 reviews in their first month; the range was 150 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Detective (8 of 8) and Crime (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mystery + Detective, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rainswept 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $29k–$79k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut	$11.99	310 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDetective
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 8.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeVisual Novel
L.A. Noire 2011	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M 8.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	37k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveCrime
Meteor World Actor: Badge & Dagger 2022	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $46k–$125k after Steam's cut $84k–$192k before Steam's cut	$17.99	378 reviews Very Positive	DetectiveNoir
The Deed 2015	Est. copies ≈ 185k–300k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $50k–$135k after Steam's cut $91k–$208k before Steam's cut	$0.99	4k reviews Very Positive	RPGMakerAdventure
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveVisual Novel
Ace Attorney Investigations Collection 2024	Est. copies ≈ 121k–196k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureInvestigation
Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy 2024	Est. copies ≈ 111k–181k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	4k reviews Very Positive	AdventureVisual Novel