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How many copies did Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 111k–181k
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 303k–396k
best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)
Games like Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy

A typical game among these

≈ 303k–396k copies

≈ $3.1M–$5.1M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mystery (8 of 8) and Story Rich (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Detective, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Singleplayer + Anime; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony
2017
Est. copies
≈ 806k–1.3M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDetective
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeDetective
Ghost Trick: Phantom Detective
2023
Est. copies
≈ 215k–349k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
AI: The Somnium Files
2019
Est. copies
≈ 272k–442k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel
The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles
2021
Est. copies
≈ 237k–385k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAdventure
Raging Loop
2017
Est. copies
≈ 390k–634k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAdventure

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