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How many copies did Rainswept sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$29k–$79k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut
from 310 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rainswept and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rainswept's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 152k–200k
best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)
Games like Rainswept

A typical game among these

≈ 152k–200k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 561 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Detective (8 of 8) and Crime (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel
GENBA no Kizuna
2024
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$24.99
22 reviews
Positive
Visual NovelDetective
Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 111k–181k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
8.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
8.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Ace Attorney Investigations Collection
2024
Est. copies
≈ 121k–196k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureInvestigation
The Deed
2015
Est. copies
≈ 185k–300k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$50k–$135k after Steam's cut $91k–$208k before Steam's cut
$0.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMakerAdventure
Meteor World Actor: Badge & Dagger
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$46k–$125k after Steam's cut $84k–$192k before Steam's cut
$17.99
378 reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveNoir

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