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How many copies did Journey to Foundation sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut
from 57 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Journey to Foundation and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Journey to Foundation's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.1M
best case 8.6M (Detroit: Become Human)
Games like Journey to Foundation

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–2.1M copies

≈ $11.0M–$26.2M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Detroit: Become Human at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Choices Matter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
76k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
STAR WARS™ Knights of the Old Republic™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
RPGSci-fi
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$18.6M–$50.0M after Steam's cut $33.8M–$77.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerStory Rich
Detroit: Become Human
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut $131.1M–$298.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
264k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Mass Effect™ Legendary Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.3M after Steam's cut $50.3M–$114.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
Beyond: Two Souls
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureChoices Matter
Quantum Break
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.3M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
ActionStory Rich

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