How much revenue did BMX Wild Run make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did BMX Wild Run sell?

Q: How many copies did BMX Wild Run sell?

372 to 605 copies, based on its 15 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 372–605; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut; from 15 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BMX Wild Run and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BMX Wild Run's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–1.8M

best case 9.2M (Forza Horizon 5)

Games like BMX Wild Run

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–1.8M copies

≈ $18.0M–$23.0M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 5 at ≈ 7.0M–11.4M copies, ≈ $115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Automobile Sim (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Racing + Driving, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Realistic + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Forza Horizon 5 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.4M 6.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	282k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
DiRT Rally 2.0 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	49k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
DiRT Rally 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	40k reviews Very Positive	RacingSimulation
Steep™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.5M–$31.0M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	34k reviews Very Positive	SportsOpen World
Assetto Corsa Competizione 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	49k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.8M–15.9M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	175k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
F1® 2020 2020	Est. copies ≈ 990k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	40k reviews Very Positive	RacingSimulation
Wreckfest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	42k reviews Very Positive	RacingDestruction