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How many copies did Break Games sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$366–$991 after Steam's cut $666–$2k before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Break Games and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Break Games's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 278k–793k
best case 1.5M (DDNet)
Games like Break Games

A typical game among these

≈ 278k–793k copies

≈ $880k–$8.5M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DDNet at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 164 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (3 of 8) and Choices Matter (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Precision Platformer.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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