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How many copies did ZSG sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ZSG and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ZSG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 912–3k
best case 1.2M (Quake Live)
Games like ZSG

A typical game among these

≈ 912–3k copies

≈ $262–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~38 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Quake Live at ≈ 890k–1.4M copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 17 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 67.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arena Shooter (8 of 8) and Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Arena Shooter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Classic + Fast-Paced; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Battle Arena VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
55 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionFighting
Brazen Blaze -3vs3 Brawl Arena-
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
109 reviews
Very Positive
VRArena Shooter
Ai-(Onic)
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$111 after Steam's cut $75–$170 before Steam's cut
$2.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
ActionCasual
Quake Live
2014
Est. copies
≈ 890k–1.4M
418x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
FPSArena Shooter
Daenerys Miracle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$256–$690 after Steam's cut $466–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
38 reviews
Positive
Arena ShooterThird-Person Shooter
Challenge Speedball
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$1.99
105 reviews
Mixed
ActionSports
Grandma's Cheese
2023
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$142–$381 after Steam's cut $258–$586 before Steam's cut
$0.99
21 reviews
Positive
Action3D Fighter
Lawnmower Game: Battle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
35 reviews
Positive
RacingSports

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