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How many copies did Novivors sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 46 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Novivors and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Novivors's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 31k–34k
best case 228k (Firestone – Idle Clicker Online RPG)
Games like Novivors

A typical game among these

≈ 31k–34k copies

≈ $69k–$83k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Firestone – Idle Clicker Online RPG at ≈ 174k–282k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 212 reviews in their first month; the range was 102 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Idler (8 of 8) and Auto Battler (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Clicker. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Clicker + RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.