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How many copies did Speed Run sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$511–$1k after Steam's cut $929–$2k before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Speed Run and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Speed Run's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–8k
best case 15k (Kao the Kangaroo (2000 re-release))
Games like Speed Run

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–8k copies

≈ $7k–$16k after Steam's cut

from ~181 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Kao the Kangaroo (2000 re-release) at ≈ 11k–18k copies, ≈ $6k–$16k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 57 reviews in their first month; the range was 24 to 71.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (8 of 8) and Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Action-Adventure, priced around $2.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celerity
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$4.99
121 reviews
Mostly Positive
Parkour3D Platformer
Crystal Call
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
204 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAction-Adventure
Air Bounce - The Jump 'n' Run Challenge
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$4.99
61 reviews
Very Positive
Action3D Platformer
Escape from Naraka
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut
$14.99
157 reviews
Mostly Positive
3D PlatformerParkour
Kao the Kangaroo: Mystery of the Volcano (2005 re-release)
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–11k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut
$1.99
261 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Flow Parkour
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
121 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionPlatformer
Kao the Kangaroo (2000 re-release)
2023
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$1.99
450 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Marble Parkour
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$297–$799 after Steam's cut $540–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
44 reviews
Mixed
CasualAdventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.