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How many copies did Kao the Kangaroo: Mystery of the Volcano (2005 re-release) sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–11k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 261 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kao the Kangaroo: Mystery of the Volcano (2005 re-release) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kao the Kangaroo: Mystery of the Volcano (2005 re-release)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 64k–190k
best case 352k (ALTF4)
Games like Kao the Kangaroo: Mystery of the Volcano (2005 re-release)

A typical game among these

≈ 64k–190k copies

≈ $221k–$676k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ALTF4 at ≈ 268k–435k copies, ≈ $220k–$592k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 550 reviews in their first month; the range was 148 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (6 of 8) and Arcade (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Runner + Physics, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Lunistice
2022
Est. copies
≈ 48k–78k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$66k–$178k after Steam's cut $120k–$274k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
3D PlatformerFemale Protagonist
ALTF4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 268k–435k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$220k–$592k after Steam's cut $400k–$911k before Steam's cut
$2.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
RunnerPhysics
Cyber Hook
2020
Est. copies
≈ 104k–169k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $780k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Indie3D Platformer
Only Climb: Better Together
2023
Est. copies
≈ 86k–139k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$118k–$316k after Steam's cut $214k–$487k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Mixed
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
PAC-MAN WORLD Re-PAC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 48k–79k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$400k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $727k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerFamily Friendly
Jet Set Radio
2012
Est. copies
≈ 526k–855k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
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8k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackClassic
Boson X
2014
Est. copies
≈ 89k–144k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$122k–$327k after Steam's cut $221k–$503k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAction
Super Monkey Ball Banana Mania
2021
Est. copies
≈ 40k–66k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$333k–$895k after Steam's cut $605k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ActionColorful

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