How much revenue did Nicole make?

$37k–$98k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nicole sell?

Q: How many copies did Nicole sell?

7k to 11k copies, based on its 125 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–11k; $37k–$98k after Steam's cut $66k–$151k before Steam's cut; from 125 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nicole and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nicole's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 118k–134k

best case 557k (Hatoful Boyfriend)

Games like Nicole

A typical game among these

≈ 118k–134k copies

≈ $430k–$477k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Hatoful Boyfriend at ≈ 425k–690k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Female Protagonist (8 of 8) and Otome (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Otome + Visual Novel, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Amnesia™: Memories 2015	Est. copies ≈ 219k–356k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $601k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	OtomeVisual Novel
私のリアルは充実しすぎているフルボイス版 2022	Est. copies ≈ 136k–222k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $375k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $681k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	OtomeFemale Protagonist
Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds 2017	Est. copies ≈ 80k–131k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $221k–$594k after Steam's cut $401k–$913k before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	OtomeVisual Novel
Cinderella Phenomenon - Otome/Visual Novel 2017	Est. copies ≈ 143k–232k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayOtome
Blood Code 2015	Est. copies ≈ 99k–160k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $271k–$729k after Steam's cut $493k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Visual NovelRomance
My Vow to My Liege 2020	Est. copies ≈ 102k–165k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $280k–$752k after Steam's cut $509k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Female ProtagonistRomance
Seduce Me the Otome 2015	Est. copies ≈ 106k–172k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayNudity
Hatoful Boyfriend 2014	Est. copies ≈ 425k–690k 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDating Sim