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How big is Cinderella Phenomenon - Otome/Visual Novel?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 143k–232k
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cinderella Phenomenon - Otome/Visual Novel and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cinderella Phenomenon - Otome/Visual Novel's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 65k–298k
best case 487k (A Date with Death)
Games like Cinderella Phenomenon - Otome/Visual Novel

A typical game among these

≈ 65k–298k copies

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: A Date with Death at ≈ 371k–603k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 922 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Romance (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Visual Novel.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Seduce Me the Otome
2015
Est. copies
≈ 106k–172k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayNudity
Blush Blush
2020
Est. copies
≈ 189k–307k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentLGBTQ+
CUPID - A free to play Visual Novel
2016
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySexual Content
Our Life: Beginnings & Always
2020
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelRomance
家有大貓 Nekojishi
2017
Est. copies
≈ 144k–234k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
LGBTQ+Visual Novel
DOTOKOI / 像素男友
2019
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualRPG
A Date with Death
2023
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
Tailor Tales
2019
Est. copies
≈ 29k–48k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayOtome

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