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How many copies did The Upper Hand sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before Steam's cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Only 6 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Upper Hand and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Upper Hand's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–3.3M
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like The Upper Hand

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–3.3M copies

≈ $14.6M–$25.6M after Steam's cut

from ~47k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 7k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (6 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ROUNDS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
$5.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerFighting
动绘(Drawing)
2020
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$182 after Steam's cut $125–$280 before Steam's cut
$9.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualStory Rich
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Pizza Tower
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great Soundtrack2D Platformer
The Prometheus Secret Noohra
2019
Est. copies
≈ 173–281
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$47–$127 after Steam's cut $86–$195 before Steam's cut
$0.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
DDNet
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
47k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpFree to Play
Platboarder
2023
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$245–$658 after Steam's cut $446–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
12 reviews
Positive
CasualSingleplayer

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