Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Hornet the Vanguard2:The fox smirks sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$142–$385 after Steam's cut $259–$592 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hornet the Vanguard2:The fox smirks and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hornet the Vanguard2:The fox smirks's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–24k
best case 65k (IMMORTALITY)
Games like Hornet the Vanguard2:The fox smirks

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–24k copies

≈ $53k–$124k after Steam's cut

from ~441 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: IMMORTALITY at ≈ 50k–81k copies, ≈ $274k–$736k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 45 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 370.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hidden Object + Choose Your Own Adventure, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Wanderer: Frankenstein’s Creature
2019
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$47k–$128k after Steam's cut $86k–$196k before Steam's cut
$15.99
375 reviews
Very Positive
Text-BasedPoint & Click
IMMORTALITY
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$274k–$736k after Steam's cut $497k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Hidden ObjectChoose Your Own Adventure
√Letter - Root Letter -
2017
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$110k–$296k after Steam's cut $200k–$455k before Steam's cut
$19.99
582 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
マーダーミステリーパラドクス このひと夏の十五年
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$39k–$106k after Steam's cut $72k–$163k before Steam's cut
$19.99
289 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
Attentat 1942
2017
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$53k–$142k after Steam's cut $96k–$218k before Steam's cut
$10.99
507 reviews
Very Positive
HistoricalCinematic
Midvinter
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
$2.99
105 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
Matsuro Palette
2020
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$37k–$100k after Steam's cut $68k–$154k before Steam's cut
$9.99
545 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureHorror
"I Know This Place..?" chapter I (prologue)
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$0.99
175 reviews
Very Positive
Detective1990's

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.