How much revenue did Toast Time make?

$7k–$19k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Toast Time sell?

Q: How many copies did Toast Time sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 91 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut; from 91 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Toast Time and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Toast Time's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–149k

best case 340k (METAL SLUG)

Games like Toast Time

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–149k copies

≈ $5k–$747k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: METAL SLUG at ≈ 259k–421k copies, ≈ $569k–$1.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 61 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 2k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shoot 'Em Up (8 of 8) and Side Scroller (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Arcade + Shoot 'Em Up, priced around $8.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Battlegrounds : At Enemy Gates 2023	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$19.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	ActionStrategy
Guns, Gore & Cannoli 2015	Est. copies ≈ 212k–345k 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $584k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	ActionSide Scroller
PUTRID SHOT ULTRA 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $978–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$2.99	48 reviews Positive	Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Void Source 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut	$4.99	119 reviews Mostly Positive	On-Rails ShooterSide Scroller
Soda Crisis 2022	Est. copies ≈ 80k–130k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $242k–$650k after Steam's cut $440k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$10.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Side ScrollerRunner
METAL SLUG 2015	Est. copies ≈ 259k–421k 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $569k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$7.99	5k reviews Very Positive	ActionArcade
OMFG: One Million Fatal Guns 2021	Est. copies ≈ 59k–96k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	Arena ShooterFPS
Titan Attacks! 2012	Est. copies ≈ 62k–100k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $170k–$457k after Steam's cut $309k–$702k before Steam's cut	$9.99	978 reviews Very Positive	Arena ShooterSide Scroller