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How big is The Mad Pantser?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 496–806
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Mad Pantser and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Mad Pantser's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 438k–1.1M
best case 1.5M (Fran Bow)
Games like The Mad Pantser

A typical game among these

≈ 438k–1.1M copies

≈ $488k–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fran Bow at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $4.6M–$12.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Point & Click (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rusty Lake Paradise
2018
Est. copies
≈ 233k–379k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$256k–$687k after Steam's cut $465k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$3.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Cube Escape Collection
2020
Est. copies
≈ 199k–324k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$273k–$735k after Steam's cut $497k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Fran Bow
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rusty Lake Hotel
2016
Est. copies
≈ 443k–719k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$242k–$651k after Steam's cut $441k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$1.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
The Room Two
2016
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
Rusty Lake: Roots
2016
Est. copies
≈ 384k–624k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$421k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $766k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$3.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Serena
2014
Est. copies
≈ 367k–597k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorFree to Play
Five Nights at Freddy's 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 831k–1.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
$7.99
17k reviews
Very Positive

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