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How many copies did The Warlock of Firetop Mountain sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 30k–49k
$166k–$446k after Steam's cut $301k–$686k before Steam's cut
from 725 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Warlock of Firetop Mountain and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Warlock of Firetop Mountain's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 49k–1.5M
best case 1.7M (For The King)
Games like The Warlock of Firetop Mountain

A typical game among these

≈ 49k–1.5M copies

≈ $257k–$5.8M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: For The King at ≈ 1.3M–2.2M copies, ≈ $7.3M–$19.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 50 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based (6 of 8) and Board Game (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based + Rogue-like, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Griftlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 359k–584k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
100% Orange Juice
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$6.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeBoard Game
7 Grand Steps: What Ancients Begat
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49k–79k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$268k–$720k after Steam's cut $487k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
771 reviews
Mixed
IndieBoard Game
For The King
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.7M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOnline Co-Op
Hero's Adventure: Road to Passion
2023
Est. copies
≈ 613k–996k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
RISK: Global Domination
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
42k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Trap for Winners
2019
Est. copies
≈ 461–749
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$7.99
16 reviews
Positive
IndieAdventure
The Foretold: Westmark Legacy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$19.99
80 reviews
Mixed
Card GameChoose Your Own Adventure

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