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How many copies did Comanche 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 20k–33k
$56k–$149k after Steam's cut $101k–$230k before Steam's cut
from 320 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Comanche 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Comanche 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22k–68k
best case 267k (IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946)
Games like Comanche 4

A typical game among these

≈ 22k–68k copies

≈ $92k–$279k after Steam's cut

from ~537 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946 at ≈ 203k–330k copies, ≈ $559k–$1.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Flight (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Flight, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2016, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 52 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STAR WARS™ X-Wing vs TIE Fighter - Balance of Power Campaigns™
2015
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$41k–$111k after Steam's cut $75k–$171k before Steam's cut
$9.99
309 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionSimulation
IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946
2008
Est. copies
≈ 0
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut
$9.99
0 reviews
No user reviews
SimulationFlight
STAR WARS™ Starfighter™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 45k–74k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$309k before Steam's cut
$5.99
718 reviews
Mixed
ActionSimulation
STAR WARS™: Rogue Squadron 3D
2016
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$160k–$431k after Steam's cut $291k–$663k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionSimulation
IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946
2008
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$559k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Wings! Remastered Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
537 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationAction
F-117A Nighthawk Stealth Fighter 2.0
2014
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut
$6.99
148 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Freespace 2
2014
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$124k–$334k after Steam's cut $226k–$514k before Steam's cut
$24.99
323 reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceSci-fi

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.