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How many copies did SanctuaryRPG: Black Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 77k–126k
$170k–$457k after Steam's cut $309k–$703k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SanctuaryRPG: Black Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SanctuaryRPG: Black Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.0M–11.1M
best case 33.8M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)
Games like SanctuaryRPG: Black Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 5.0M–11.1M copies

≈ $18.0M–$107.6M after Steam's cut

from ~200k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.8M–41.9M copies, ≈ $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Rogue-like (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.8M–41.9M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut $193.0M–$439.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
460k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
The Binding of Isaac
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$4.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Krypt
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$68–$183 after Steam's cut $123–$281 before Steam's cut
$1.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
ActionAdventure
Mottia - The gem hunters
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$83–$221 after Steam's cut $150–$340 before Steam's cut
$5.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Early AccessAction Roguelike

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