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How many copies did Somnium Eleven sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$681–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Somnium Eleven and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Somnium Eleven's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 143k–639k
best case 1.5M (Love Is All Around)
Games like Somnium Eleven

A typical game among these

≈ 143k–639k copies

≈ $727k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Love Is All Around at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 470 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dating Sim (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Sexual Content, priced around $10.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 345k–561k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Est. copies
≈ 120k–195k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Choices MatterLife Sim
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
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≈ 70k–114k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Dating SimFMV
失业了,我获得了亿万游戏财产!
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≈ 74k–119k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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Sexual ContentStrategy
LoveChoice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
4.6x vs typical
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Est. revenue
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$1.99
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RomanceDating Sim

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.