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How many copies did Tallowmere sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 42k–68k
$46k–$123k after Steam's cut $83k–$190k before Steam's cut
from 857 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tallowmere and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tallowmere's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–16k
best case 352k (Have a Nice Death)
Games like Tallowmere

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–16k copies

≈ $47k–$53k after Steam's cut

from ~401 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Have a Nice Death at ≈ 268k–436k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 272 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Hack and Slash (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer, priced around $19. The breakout hits carry 2D Platformer + Platformer + 2D Fighter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
10k reviews
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Seed Hunter 猎源
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≈ 10k–16k
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403 reviews
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Action RoguelikeRoguevania
Blade Assault
2022
Est. copies
≈ 57k–93k
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$282k–$757k after Steam's cut $512k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
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ActionRogue-like
Fallback
2019
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$131k before Steam's cut
$9.99
399 reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Platformer
Have a Nice Death
2023
Est. copies
≈ 268k–436k
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeHack and Slash
Loopmancer
2022
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Tallowmere 2: Curse of the Kittens
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$26k–$70k after Steam's cut $47k–$107k before Steam's cut
$9.99
380 reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Platformer
Spiritfall
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
5.0x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Fighter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.