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How many copies did Lunar Rebirth: Dungeon of Eternal Return sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$68–$183 after Steam's cut $123–$281 before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lunar Rebirth: Dungeon of Eternal Return and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Lunar Rebirth: Dungeon of Eternal Return's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–7.1M
best case 10.1M (Hades)
Games like Lunar Rebirth: Dungeon of Eternal Return

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–7.1M copies

≈ $30.6M–$72.1M after Steam's cut

from ~124k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Hades at ≈ 7.7M–12.5M copies, ≈ $52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the range was 15k to 86k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (3 of 3) and Rogue-like (3 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 3 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Hades II
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
124k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionRogue-like

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