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How many copies did Refence sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut
from 144 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Refence and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Refence's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18k–25k
best case 324k ((the) Gnorp Apologue)
Games like Refence

A typical game among these

≈ 18k–25k copies

≈ $33k–$53k after Steam's cut

from ~578 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: (the) Gnorp Apologue at ≈ 247k–401k copies, ≈ $475k–$1.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 244 reviews in their first month; the range was 135 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Clicker (8 of 8) and Idler (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Clicker + Idler, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Building + Cute + Economy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

最后的仙门 The last Practice Sect
2022
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$14k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$60k before Steam's cut
$3.99
529 reviews
Mixed
IdlerClicker
(the) Gnorp Apologue
2023
Est. copies
≈ 247k–401k
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$475k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $863k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$6.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler
Samawa Idle
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $39k–$88k before Steam's cut
$4.99
623 reviews
Mixed
ClickerIdler
Minutescape
2025
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$95k before Steam's cut
$5.99
565 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyClicker
Nomad Idle
2025
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$60k–$162k after Steam's cut $110k–$250k before Steam's cut
$9.99
886 reviews
Mixed
IdlerClicker
Idle Colony
2024
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$24k–$63k after Steam's cut $43k–$98k before Steam's cut
$5.99
578 reviews
Very Positive
CasualClicker
Tumbleweed Destiny
2022
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before Steam's cut
$2.99
389 reviews
Very Positive
ClickerRogue-lite
Increlution
2021
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before Steam's cut
$3.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerTime Management

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.