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How many copies did Overture sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 61k–100k
$84k–$227k after Steam's cut $153k–$349k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Overture and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Overture's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 959k–4.4M
best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)
Games like Overture

A typical game among these

≈ 959k–4.4M copies

≈ $3.3M–$9.4M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 24k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Vampire + 2D + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
267k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Death Must Die
2023
Est. copies
≈ 541k–879k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$6.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
The Binding of Isaac
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$4.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
Halls of Torment
2024
Est. copies
≈ 793k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$6.66
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
Soulstone Survivors
2025
Est. copies
≈ 668k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

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