How much revenue did BLADESTORM: Nightmare make?

$410k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did BLADESTORM: Nightmare sell?

Q: How many copies did BLADESTORM: Nightmare sell?

25k to 40k copies, based on its 509 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 25k–40k; $410k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $745k–$1.7M before Steam's cut; from 509 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BLADESTORM: Nightmare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BLADESTORM: Nightmare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 174k–1.8M

best case 4.3M (MORDHAU)

Games like BLADESTORM: Nightmare

A typical game among these

≈ 174k–1.8M copies

≈ $1.2M–$24.5M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action RPG (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: MORDHAU at ≈ 3.3M–5.3M copies, ≈ $26.9M–$72.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 658 to 49k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RPG (3 of 8) and Character Customization (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Medieval + First-Person, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Han Xiongnu Wars 2017	Est. copies ≈ 142k–230k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $272k–$732k after Steam's cut $495k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$6.99	4k reviews Mixed	ActionStrategy
Nioh 2 – The Complete Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.0M 4.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $17.3M–$46.5M after Steam's cut $31.4M–$71.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	51k reviews Very Positive	RPGAction
Gladio and Glory 2021	Est. copies ≈ 104k–170k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessPvP
Heroes of Hammerwatch II 2025	Est. copies ≈ 163k–264k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $895k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	RPGAction RPG
Myth of Empires 2024	Est. copies ≈ 437k–710k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$14.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	18k reviews Mixed	BuildingOpen World Survival Craft
MORDHAU 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.3M–5.3M 9.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.9M–$72.3M after Steam's cut $48.9M–$111.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	113k reviews Mostly Positive	MedievalMultiplayer
Wolcen: Lords of Mayhem 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M 5.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	68k reviews Mixed	Action RPGHack and Slash
Hammerwatch II 2023	Est. copies ≈ 55k–90k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $380k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $692k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Mixed	Hack and SlashAction RPG