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How many copies did Han Xiongnu Wars sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 142k–230k
$272k–$732k after Steam's cut $495k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Han Xiongnu Wars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Han Xiongnu Wars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.8M–7.2M
best case 9.7M (Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord)
Games like Han Xiongnu Wars

A typical game among these

≈ 2.8M–7.2M copies

≈ $35.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut

from ~89k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord at ≈ 7.4M–12.0M copies, ≈ $101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 44k reviews in their first month; the range was 20k to 200k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Historical (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
298k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy
Assassin's Creed 2
2010
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.5M after Steam's cut $38.9M–$88.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
62k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Mount & Blade: Warband
2010
Est. copies
≈ 10.9M–17.7M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
172k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MedievalRPG
Age of History II
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut
$5.99
50k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Assassin's Creed® Origins
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$73.3M–$197.2M after Steam's cut $133.3M–$303.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
129k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAssassin
Assassin's Creed® Unity
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$39.7M–$106.8M after Steam's cut $72.2M–$164.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
86k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldParkour
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Medieval Dynasty
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
CraftingBuilding

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