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wishvane

How many copies did Assassin's Creed® Origins sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
$72.4M–$194.7M after Steam's cut $131.7M–$299.6M before the cut
from 128k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Assassin's Creed® Origins out and predicted the genre from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Assassin's Creed® Origins's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.1M–11.8M
best case 13.3M (Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition)

All 6 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 6.1M–11.8M copies
≈ $41.3M–$145.9M after Steam's cut
from ~141k reviews
Best case
≈ 10.1M–16.5M copies
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition · ≈ $167.3M–$449.8M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Stealth (4 of 6) and Third Person (4 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Ninja, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2000 to 2019, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$93.1M–$250.3M after Steam's cut $169.3M–$385.1M before the cut
$59.99
186k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$27.6M–$74.2M after Steam's cut $50.2M–$114.2M before the cut
$19.99
97k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Dishonored
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.5M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.5M before the cut
$9.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthFirst-Person
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10.1M–16.5M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$167.3M–$449.8M after Steam's cut $304.1M–$691.9M before the cut
$59.99
352k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Souls-likeDifficult
Counter-Strike
2000
Est. copies
≈ 13.6M–22.0M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$37.3M–$100.2M after Steam's cut $67.7M–$154.1M before the cut
$9.99
261k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS
Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™
Invalid Date
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$20.6M–$55.5M after Steam's cut $37.5M–$85.4M before the cut
$39.99
78k reviews
Very Positive
PiratesOpen World

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