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How many copies did Dishonored sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
$15.3M–$41.3M after Steam's cut $27.9M–$63.5M before Steam's cut
from 88k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dishonored and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dishonored's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 710k–1.3M
best case 3.7M (Dishonored 2)
Games like Dishonored

A typical game among these

≈ 710k–1.3M copies

≈ $6.5M–$12.1M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dishonored 2 at ≈ 2.8M–4.5M copies, ≈ $23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Stealth (6 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Stealth + First-Person, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Atmospheric + Assassin; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DEATHLOOP
2021
Est. copies
≈ 756k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.5M after Steam's cut $22.7M–$51.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSAction
Cruelty Squad
2021
Est. copies
≈ 621k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CapitalismSurreal
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 372k–605k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
FPSSniper
Hitman: Blood Money
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
War Robots
2018
Est. copies
≈ 943k–1.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
31k reviews
Mixed
RobotsMechs
Dishonored 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut $41.8M–$95.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
StealthFirst-Person
Dishonored®: Death of the Outsider™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 461k–749k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.2M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
Thief
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.5M–$30.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
24k reviews
Mostly Positive
StealthAction

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