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How many copies did Pudding Frog sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$326–$878 after Steam's cut $593–$1k before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pudding Frog and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pudding Frog's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 16k–31k
best case 356k (Deepest Sword)
Games like Pudding Frog

A typical game among these

≈ 16k–31k copies

≈ $51k–$77k after Steam's cut

from ~493 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Deepest Sword at ≈ 271k–441k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 130 reviews in their first month; the range was 41 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (8 of 8) and 2D Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Precision Platformer, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Local Co-Op + Local Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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2.2x vs typical
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Racing2D Platformer
Deepest Sword
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N++ (NPLUSPLUS)
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