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How many copies did Defunct sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 31k–50k
$42k–$113k after Steam's cut $76k–$174k before Steam's cut
from 737 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Defunct and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Defunct's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–4.0M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Defunct

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–4.0M copies

≈ $19.2M–$44.9M after Steam's cut

from ~87k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Automobile Sim (6 of 8) and Driving (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Mature + Utilities + Anime; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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RacingDestruction
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12x vs typical
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11x vs typical
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DrivingTransportation
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≈ 1.6M–2.6M
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DrivingOpen World

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