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How many copies did XFlight: FPV Drone Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 670–1k
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
from 27 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid XFlight: FPV Drone Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including XFlight: FPV Drone Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–1.8M
best case 9.2M (Forza Horizon 5)
Games like XFlight: FPV Drone Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–1.8M copies

≈ $18.0M–$23.0M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 5 at ≈ 7.0M–11.4M copies, ≈ $115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Automobile Sim (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Automobile Sim, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Realistic + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DiRT Rally 2.0
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Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
49k reviews
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RacingAutomobile Sim
Assetto Corsa Competizione
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
49k reviews
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RacingAutomobile Sim
DiRT Rally
2015
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≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
F1® 2020
2020
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
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40k reviews
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RacingSimulation
Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Wreckfest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
42k reviews
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RacingDestruction
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$59.99
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Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Steep™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$11.5M–$31.0M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
SportsOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.