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How many copies did Timespinner sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 97k–158k
$533k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $970k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Timespinner and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Timespinner's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 171k–220k
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Timespinner

A typical game among these

≈ 171k–220k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 283 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Metroidvania (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Difficult + Great Soundtrack + Precision Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
3dSen PC
2025
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$57k–$154k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut
$14.99
559 reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerAdventure
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Indivisible
2019
Est. copies
≈ 108k–175k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$592k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGIndie
TOMOMI
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut
$7.99
280 reviews
Very Positive
ActionMetroidvania
Hot Tin Roof: The Cat That Wore A Fedora
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$45k–$120k after Steam's cut $81k–$185k before Steam's cut
$14.99
222 reviews
Mixed
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
Romancelvania
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$55k–$148k after Steam's cut $100k–$227k before Steam's cut
$24.99
322 reviews
Mostly Positive
VampirePlatformer
Iconoclasts
2018
Est. copies
≈ 153k–249k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$841k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePixel Graphics

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