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How many copies did Wayward sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 57k–92k
$125k–$336k after Steam's cut $227k–$517k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wayward and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wayward's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 135k–3.2M
best case 29.7M (Don't Starve Together)
Games like Wayward

A typical game among these

≈ 135k–3.2M copies

≈ $1.1M–$17.5M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Don't Starve Together at ≈ 22.6M–36.8M copies, ≈ $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 309 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (8 of 8) and Open World Survival Craft (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.8M
75x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
544k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Don't Starve
2013
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.7M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.7M–$53.0M after Steam's cut $35.8M–$81.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
114k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Card Survival: Tropical Island
2022
Est. copies
≈ 76k–124k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$523k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $950k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalAdventure
Terminus: Zombie Survivors
2024
Est. copies
≈ 112k–182k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$615k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Stoneshard
2020
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Mostly Positive
UnReal World
2016
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$230k–$618k after Steam's cut $418k–$950k before Steam's cut
$14.50
1k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
Outlaws of the Old West
2019
Est. copies
≈ 181k–295k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$997k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Mixed
Open World Survival CraftWestern
The Wild Eight
2019
Est. copies
≈ 234k–381k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft

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