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How many copies did Outlaws of the Old West sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 181k–295k
$997k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Outlaws of the Old West and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outlaws of the Old West's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15k–109k
best case 56.0M (Rust)
Games like Outlaws of the Old West

A typical game among these

≈ 15k–109k copies

≈ $114k–$991k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 130 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World Survival Craft (8 of 8) and Survival (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Building + Open World + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
402x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
458x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
827x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Dino Path Trail
2025
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$99k before Steam's cut
$14.99
234 reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalAction-Adventure
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.8M
320x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
544k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Heat
2020
Est. copies
≈ 73k–118k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$399k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $726k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalWestern
This Land Is My Land
2021
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$953k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Desert Skies
2019
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$74k–$200k after Steam's cut $135k–$308k before Steam's cut
$19.99
470 reviews
Mixed
Open World Survival CraftAction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.