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How many copies did Three Heroes sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50k–80k
$54k–$146k after Steam's cut $99k–$225k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Three Heroes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Three Heroes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–6.3M
best case 20.7M (Monster Hunter: World)
Games like Three Heroes

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–6.3M copies

≈ $31.3M–$102.4M after Steam's cut

from ~97k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Monster Hunter: World at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies, ≈ $129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Fantasy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Open World, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Co-op + Multiplayer + Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.9M–$45.4M after Steam's cut $30.7M–$69.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
FINAL FANTASY XV WINDOWS EDITION
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$17.0M–$45.8M after Steam's cut $31.0M–$70.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
97k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
God of War
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$63.1M–$169.6M after Steam's cut $114.7M–$260.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
185k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionSingleplayer
Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.4M–$149.1M after Steam's cut $100.8M–$229.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Granblue Fantasy: Relink
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
Monster Hunter: World
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut $236.2M–$537.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
518k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer

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