How much revenue did Gothic® 3 make?

$4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Gothic® 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did Gothic® 3 sell?

785k to 1.3M copies, based on its 12k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 785k–1.3M; $4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.9M before Steam's cut; from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gothic® 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gothic® 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.6M–29.2M

best case 37.7M (ELDEN RING)

Games like Gothic® 3

A typical game among these

≈ 11.6M–29.2M copies

≈ $221.6M–$596.5M after Steam's cut

from ~377k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ELDEN RING at ≈ 28.7M–46.6M copies, ≈ $473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 171k reviews in their first month; the range was 145k to 347k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Fantasy (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hogwarts Legacy 2023	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	375k reviews Very Positive	MagicOpen World
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered 2015	Est. copies ≈ 43.8M–71.2M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	898k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim 2011	Est. copies ≈ 20.1M–32.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.9M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	318k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
ELDEN RING 2022	Est. copies ≈ 28.7M–46.6M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeOpen World
New World: Aeternum 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.4M–12.0M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	297k reviews Mixed	Open WorldMassively Multiplayer
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	379k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Monster Hunter: World 2018	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut $236.2M–$537.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	518k reviews Very Positive	Co-opMultiplayer