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How many copies did Secret Of Magia sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 49k–80k
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Secret Of Magia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Secret Of Magia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 487k–769k
best case 2.9M (OMORI)
Games like Secret Of Magia

A typical game among these

≈ 487k–769k copies

≈ $4.7M–$9.2M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (6 of 8) and RPGMaker (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Psychological Horror + Multiple Endings + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Eternal Senia
2015
Est. copies
≈ 589k–957k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeFree to Play
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky
2014
Est. copies
≈ 583k–947k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tales of the Black Forest
2019
Est. copies
≈ 447k–726k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$3.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGRPGMaker
Material Girl
2017
Est. copies
≈ 304k–495k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Summer Memories
2020
Est. copies
≈ 625k–1.0M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
King Exit
2017
Est. copies
≈ 236k–383k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
RPG Maker MV
2015
Est. copies
≈ 437k–711k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut
$79.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
RPGRPGMaker

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.