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How many copies did ACE Academy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 61k–99k
from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ACE Academy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ACE Academy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 543k–818k
best case 1.6M (Volcano Princess)
Games like ACE Academy

A typical game among these

≈ 543k–818k copies

≈ $5.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Volcano Princess at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 922 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Choices Matter, priced around $13.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Our Life: Beginnings & Always
2020
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelRomance
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$10.99
49k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life SimMultiple Endings
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 813k–1.3M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
Batman - The Telltale Series
2016
Est. copies
≈ 761k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterAdventure
Tales from the Borderlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 486k–790k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyAdventure
Emily is Away
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStory Rich

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