How much revenue did Aurora Dusk: Steam Age make?

$24k–$66k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Aurora Dusk: Steam Age sell?

Q: How many copies did Aurora Dusk: Steam Age sell?

9k to 14k copies, based on its 309 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 9k–14k; $24k–$66k after Steam's cut $44k–$101k before Steam's cut; from 309 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Aurora Dusk: Steam Age and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aurora Dusk: Steam Age's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.6M–10.4M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Aurora Dusk: Steam Age

A typical game among these

≈ 8.6M–10.4M copies

≈ $110.4M–$134.1M after Steam's cut

from ~227k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (3 of 8) and Survival (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $32. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
SCP: Secret Laboratory 2017	Est. copies ≈ 8.1M–13.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	235k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
Squad 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.0M–9.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	244k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryRealistic
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
Slay the Spire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	220k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Mount & Blade: Warband 2010	Est. copies ≈ 10.9M–17.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	172k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MedievalRPG
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies