How much revenue did VERGE:Lost chapter make?

$42k–$113k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did VERGE:Lost chapter sell?

Q: How many copies did VERGE:Lost chapter sell?

154k to 251k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 154k–251k; $42k–$113k after Steam's cut $76k–$174k before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid VERGE:Lost chapter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including VERGE:Lost chapter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–6.1M

best case 12.8M (Assetto Corsa)

Games like VERGE:Lost chapter

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–6.1M copies

≈ $7.7M–$51.7M after Steam's cut

from ~56k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Assetto Corsa at ≈ 9.8M–15.9M copies, ≈ $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Racing + Automobile Sim, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.8M–15.9M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	175k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
The Isle 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.6M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $32.6M–$87.7M after Steam's cut $59.3M–$134.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	122k reviews Very Positive	DinosaursSurvival
Viscera Cleanup Detail 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.1M before Steam's cut	$12.99	24k reviews Very Positive	SimulationGore
House Party 2022	Est. copies ≈ 383k–623k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	NudityMature
The Long Dark 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–6.9M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$97.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	124k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Miscreated 2018	Est. copies ≈ 960k–1.6M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $7.9M–$21.3M after Steam's cut $14.4M–$32.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Mixed	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Just Survive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	77k reviews Mixed	ZombiesSurvival
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut 2023	Est. copies ≈ 856k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$17.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelChoices Matter