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How many copies did Battle Girls sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
from 92 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Battle Girls and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Battle Girls's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 913k–2.5M
best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)
Games like Battle Girls

A typical game among these

≈ 913k–2.5M copies

≈ $6.0M–$29.5M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 922 to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dating Sim (5 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Simulation, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Street Fighter V
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Mixed
FightingAction
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 813k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
Find Love or Die Trying
2021
Est. copies
≈ 296k–481k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Our Life: Beginnings & Always
2020
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelRomance
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.