How much revenue did ChromaGun make?

$98k–$263k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ChromaGun sell?

Q: How many copies did ChromaGun sell?

27k to 44k copies, based on its 658 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 27k–44k; $98k–$263k after Steam's cut $178k–$404k before Steam's cut; from 658 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ChromaGun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ChromaGun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 433k–586k

best case 38.8M (Portal 2)

Games like ChromaGun

A typical game among these

≈ 433k–586k copies

≈ $4.4M–$5.0M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle-Platformer (8 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Supraland 2019	Est. copies ≈ 446k–725k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M 17x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
Viewfinder 2023	Est. copies ≈ 330k–536k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Portal 2007	Est. copies ≈ 12.6M–20.5M 15x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	199k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Trine 3: The Artifacts of Power 2015	Est. copies ≈ 449k–730k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut	$21.99	9k reviews Mixed	Puzzle-Platformer3D Platformer
The Talos Principle 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 333k–541k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle Story Rich
Portal 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 29.5M–48.0M 35x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	467k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Platformer Puzzle
Gravitas 2019	Est. copies ≈ 206k–334k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayPuzzle