How much revenue did Rumble make?

$988–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Rumble sell?

Q: How many copies did Rumble sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 37 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $988–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut; from 37 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rumble and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rumble's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 79k–142k

best case 478k (Nova Drift)

Games like Rumble

A typical game among these

≈ 79k–142k copies

≈ $164k–$775k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Nova Drift at ≈ 364k–592k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 616 reviews in their first month; the range was 550 to 12k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arena Shooter (7 of 8) and Shoot 'Em Up (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Arena Shooter, priced around $18. The breakout hits carry Action RPG + Bullet Hell + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Nova Drift 2024	Est. copies ≈ 364k–592k 6.2x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut	$17.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
OMFG: One Million Fatal Guns 2021	Est. copies ≈ 59k–96k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	Arena ShooterFPS
The Braves 2024	Est. copies ≈ 53k–87k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Rocket Wars 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3k–6k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $937–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$0.99	100 reviews Very Positive	4 Player LocalParty Game
Time Wasters 2023	Est. copies ≈ 65k–106k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $89k–$240k after Steam's cut $162k–$370k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
SNKRX 2021	Est. copies ≈ 108k–175k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $88k–$238k after Steam's cut $161k–$366k before Steam's cut	$2.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Screencheat 2014	Est. copies ≈ 109k–177k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $448k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $815k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Split ScreenArena Shooter
Jamestown 2011	Est. copies ≈ 150k–243k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $411k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $747k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Shoot 'Em UpBullet Hell