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How many copies did Wand Wars sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$124k before Steam's cut
from 218 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wand Wars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wand Wars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 244–2k
best case 37.2M (Rocket League®)
Games like Wand Wars

A typical game among these

≈ 244–2k copies

≈ $251–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~24 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Rocket League® at ≈ 28.3M–46.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 134 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (6 of 8) and Bullet Hell (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Competitive. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Football (Soccer) + Competitive; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fortress V2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
21x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
499 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessAction
VRNOID
2023
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$9.99
24 reviews
Positive
ActionVR
Rocket League®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 28.3M–46.0M
24177x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
580k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
5 Minutes Rage - Hatred Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$7.99
34 reviews
Mixed
Bullet HellSports
Steam revolution VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$562 before Steam's cut
$4.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Early AccessCasual
BLUE WISH DESIRE
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$8.99
71 reviews
Very Positive
ActionBullet Hell
DuckHunt - Missouri
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut
$1.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
ActionCasual
TCSTRIKERS3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11 reviews
Positive
Shoot 'Em UpBullet Hell

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.